How 'Professor Lockdown' helped save tens of thousands of lives worldwide — and carried COVID-19 into Downing Street

neil ferguson 2x1J-IDEA; Ruobing Su/Business Insider

  • Professor Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College London, authored a paper that prompted the UK to scrap its coronavirus strategy.
  • Ferguson's team warned Boris Johnson that the quest for "herd immunity" could cost 510,000 lives, prompting an abrupt U-turn.
  • His simulations have been influential in other countries as well, cited by authorities in the US, Germany, and France.
  • During the pandemic, Ferguson caught COVID-19 himself. Around the same time, a wave of infections swept 10 Downing Street, hospitalizing Johnson.
  • A competing model from the University of Oxford, and some criticism from contemporaries, is casting a shadow on his work and the government's reliance on modelling.
  • Here's what we know about "Professor Lockdown" and the gold standard in science that is Imperial College.  
  • Visit Business Insider's homepage for more stories.

There has never been a more momentous era to be an epidemiologist.

The last 20 years have played host to a flurry of pathogen outbreaks; Foot and Mouth in 2001, SARS in 2003, Swine Flu in 2011, MERS in 2012, and Ebola and Zika in 2014.

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