An average coronavirus patient infects at least 2 others. To end the pandemic, that crucial metric needs to drop below 1 — here's how we get there.

Coronavirus lab testing GermanyAP Photo/Martin Meissner

  • A crucial metric called R0, pronounced R-naught, represents how many people an average person with a virus infects.
  • The coronavirus has an R0 of roughly 2 to 2.5, meaning that each new person spreads the disease to about 2.2 people on average.
  • That makes COVID-19 more contagious than the seasonal flu.
  • But a disease's R0 isn't fixed — it can decrease with the right preventive measures. Bringing it below 1 would end the pandemic.
  • Read Business Insider's live coronavirus updates here, or visit the homepage for more stories.

A crucial step in reigning in the coronavirus pandemic is determining exactly how contagious it is. That comes down to one crucial metric: the R0 (pronounced R-naught).

R0 refers to the average number of people that one sick person goes on to infect in a group that has no immunity. Experts use it to predict how far and how fast a disease will spread, and the number can also inform policy decisions about how to contain an outbreak.

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