Saturday, September 23, 2023

Meet Mark Zuckerberg: Founder And Creator Of Facebook And Meta

Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg has led Facebook, now Meta, for nearly two decades.
  • Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg grew up outside of New York City and dropped out of Harvard after founding Facebook.
  • He's built it into a multibillion-dollar company while weathering numerous scandals and controversies.
  • Here's a look at his career rise, personal life, and controversies over the years.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has weathered success and controversy in equal parts over the past 19 years.

The millennial CEO is credited with creating a social network that has more monthly active users than any single country in the world has people, and his majority voting rights give him complete control of the company — which also means he's often the focal point of any backlash.

As it grew from a social network called Facebook to a metaverse company named Meta, the company that Zuckerberg built has weathered scandal after scandal even as it saw seemingly unstoppable growth. But things have shifted as Facebook user numbers stalled out last year for the first time, Zuckerberg's net worth plunged, and Meta layoffs affected more than 21,000 people, marking the biggest cull in the company's history.

Still, Zuckerberg's net worth is estimated at $108 billion, making him the 10th richest person in the world. At the beginning of the 2022, Zuckerberg was worth $125 billion.

At the same time, Zuckerberg and his wife, Priscilla Chan, have poured billions into efforts to cure human diseasea via their foundation, the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative; amassed a sprawling real estate empire in Hawaii; and expanded their family to include three young daughters: Maxima, August, and Aurelia.

Here's a look at the timeline of Zuckerberg's career, from his early life in a New York suburb to his role as one of the most powerful CEOs in the world:

Early life, family
Dobbs Ferry, New York
New York City seen through the frozen Hudson River in Dobbs Ferry, New York.

While he's now a titan of Silicon Valley, Mark Zuckerberg was raised in the quaint town of Dobbs Ferry, New York. He was born to Edward and Karen Zuckerberg, a dentist and psychiatrist, respectively. He has three siblings: Randi, Donna, and Arielle.

Source: New York Magazine

Young computer programmer
mark zuckerberg harvard college young

A precocious child, Mark at age 12 created a messaging program called "Zucknet" using Atari BASIC. He also coded computer games for his friends at a young age.

Source: New York Magazine

Building a music streamer in high school
AOL

While attending high school at the renowned Phillips Exeter Academy in New Hampshire, he built an early music streaming platform, which both AOL and Microsoft showed interest in. Still a teen, he rejected offers for an acquisition or a job.

Source: New York Magazine

 

Other interests
Two people fencing
Unfortunately, this isn't actually Zuckerberg fencing.

He wasn't just a computer nerd, though. Zuck loved the classics — "The Odyssey" and the like — and he became captain of his high school fencing team.

Source: The New Yorker

Before Facebook, there was Face mash
Mark Zuckerberg Chris Hughes Harvard Facebook early years
Zuckerberg and Facebook cofounder Chris Hughes.

Soon after Zuckerberg started at Harvard University in 2002, he earned a reputation as a skilled developer. His first hit was "Face mash," a hot-or-not-style app that used the pictures of his classmates that he hacked from the school administration's dormitory ID files.

Source: The New Yorker

Young love
mark zuckerberg priscilla chan
Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg.

Zuckerberg met his now-wife, Priscilla Chan, at Harvard in 2003. Chan told Savannah Guthrie on "Today" that they met at a frat party thrown by Zuckerberg's fraternity, Alpha Epsilon Pi.

Source: Today

Founding "The Facebook"
mark zuckerberg harvard college young

Zuckerberg started "The Facebook" with several friends out of his dorm room, and dropped out of school in 2005, after his sophomore year, to focus on the social network full-time.

Source: The New Yorker

CEO Mark Zuckerberg
mark zuckerberg business card

Zuckerberg wasn't always the polished statesman he is now. In Facebook's early days, he carried business cards that read, "I'm CEO, B----."

Source: TechCrunch

Facebook's series A funding
Mark Zuckerberg

Zuckerberg's company raised its $12.7 million Series A round of funding while he was barely of legal drinking age.

Person of the Year
mark zuckerberg time magazine person of the year 2010 copy

In 2010, Time magazine named Zuckerberg "Person of the Year."

Source: Time

"The Social Network" dramatizes Zuckerberg, Facebook's story
the social network movie, jesse eisenberg, justin timberlake
Justin Timberlake and Jesse Eisenberg playing Sean Parker and Mark Zuckerberg, respectively.

Not many tech CEOs get to see themselves immortalized on the big screen, but the 2010 movie "The Social Network" put a dramatized version of Facebook's founding story in theaters. The film earned eight Academy Award nominations, but Zuckerberg strongly maintains that many of its details are incorrect.

Source: New York Magazine

Throughout Facebook's rise to greatness, Zuckerberg also spent his free time studying Chinese. By the fall of 2014, his Mandarin was so good that he managed to hold a 30-minute Q&A in the language.
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg, founder of Facebook, delivers a keynote speech during the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Spain February 22, 2016.

Throughout Facebook's rise to greatness, Zuckerberg studied Chinese in his free time. By the fall of 2014, his Mandarin was so good that he managed to hold a 30-minute Q&A in the language.

Facebook's historic IPO catapulted Zuckerberg's net worth
Facebook IPO

Zuckerberg took Facebook public on May 18, 2012. The IPO raised $16 billion, making it the biggest tech IPO in history at the time. Zuckerberg became the 29th-richest person on the planet overnight.

Priscilla Chan becomes Mark Zuckerberg's wife
chan zuckerberg initiative mark zuckerberg priscilla chan
Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan embrace during a Chan Zuckerberg Initiative event in 2016.

The day after Facebook went public, Zuckerberg and Chan got married. The relatively low-key event was actually a surprise wedding — guests thought they were celebrating Chan's medical school graduation.

Zuckerberg designed Chan's ruby ring himself. Chan walked down the aisle with Beast, the couple's Hungarian Puli, who they adopted in 2011.

The two honeymooned in Italy, flying in on a private jet and staying at a five-star hotel, Portrait Suites, where rooms started at 800 euros per night. But they still kept it casual at times when looking for something to eat — paparazzi spotted the couple eating at McDonald's while overseas.

Starting a family
Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan

In 2015, Zuckerberg and Chan announced the birth of daughter Maxima, or "Max" for short. "There is so much joy in our little family," Zuckerberg wrote on Facebook.

Chan Zuckerberg Initiative is born
mark zuckerberg priscilla chan

In honor of Max's birth, the couple announced their plan to sell 99% of Zuckerberg's Facebook stock over time— worth about $45 billion at the time — to fund the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative. The initiative funnels money toward issues like personalized learning, curing diseases, and connecting people.

Before announcing that new effort, Zuckerberg and Chan had committed $1.6 billion to philanthropic causes, including donations to the Centers for Disease Control and the San Francisco General Hospital, which was eventually renamed after Zuckerberg.

Goal: curing all diseases
ap_16265572093652

In September 2016, Chan and Zuckerberg pledged $3 billion towards efforts to cure the world's diseases by the end of this century. "Can we help scientists to cure, prevent or manage all diseases within our children's lifetime?" Zuckerberg wrote on Facebook. "I'm optimistic we can."

Another baby on the way
mark zuckerberg priscilla chan

In May 2017, Chan and Zuckerberg announced they had another baby on the way. They welcomed a second daughter, August, later that year.

Zuckerberg's wealth
Mark Zuckerberg
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg.

Zuckerberg is one of a very small group of people who is worth more billions of dollars than years he has lived. Still, he's far from flashy about it — the CEO famously wore only a hoodie or a gray t-shirt with jeans for over a decade, although he's switched it up in recent years.

In 2014, when he was the third-richest man in the world, he bought a black Volkswagen GTI with a manual transmission, which cost around $30,000. However, he did reportedly pay for an Italian Pagani Huayra supercar around the same time.

Life on Kauai
Kauai Hawaii
A beach in Kauai, Hawaii.

Zuckerberg also likes to spend his money on privacy. In October 2014, he shelled out around $100 million for 700 acres of secluded land on the Hawaiian island of Kauai. He's since amassed a total of 1,500 acres, though his presence on the island remains controversial among locals.

Palo Alto mansion
mark zuckerberg house home palo alto 4x3

In Palo Alto, California, Zuckerberg reportedly bought his 5,617-square-foot home for $7 million in 2011, and then spent an additional $45 million on the four houses and land around it for the sake of privacy.

Sources: InsiderSan Jose Mercury News 

 

San Francisco mansion
san francisco dolores park covid social distancing park
Dolores Park in San Francisco's Mission neighborhood.

He also bought a $10 million mansion in San Francisco, and then spent more than $1 million on remodeling and additions — like a $60,000 greenhouse — that took a year to build and reportedly disturbed neighbors in the process. He sold the property in 2022 for $31 million.

Source: SF Gate, Insider

Facebook acquisitions
mark zuckerberg oculus
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg on stage at an Oculus developers conference in 2016.

Zuckerberg hasn't been afraid to spend his company's money either. Facebook made some major acquisitions in the 2010s, including $1 billion for Instagram, $19 billion for WhatsApp, and $2 billion for Oculus. Today, Facebook apps are used by billions of people each month.

Source: Insider

Returning to Harvard
Mark Zuckerberg Harvard

In May 2017, Zuckerberg returned to Harvard as its youngest commencement speaker ever. During his speech, Zuckerberg touched on a range of topics, including climate change, universal basic income, criminal justice reform, and "modernizing democracy" by allowing people to vote online. He also received an honorary doctorate at the ceremony.

Rubbing elbows with the rich and powerful
zuckerberg modi
Zuckerberg with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

Zuckerberg frequently meets with high-profile figures and celebrities, including Snoop Dogg, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and former President Barack Obama.

Source: Facebook

Facebook, fake news, and the 2016 election
Mark Zuckerberg

Shortly after the 2016 presidential election, Facebook was accused of spreading misinformation that led to Donald Trump's win. The CEO brushed off the claims: "Personally, I think the idea that fake news on Facebook ... influenced the election in any way is a pretty crazy idea."

But about a year later, the first evidence of Facebook's role emerged. The company revealed that Russian parties spent around $100,000 on roughly 3,000 ads, and that 126 million Americans likely saw Russia-funded posts intended to sway them.

Zuckerberg has always been passionate about political issues, but he kicked up his rhetoric significantly around the time that Trump was elected. However, he still worked behind the scenes to communicate with Trump, including attending private dinners at the White House.

President Zuckerberg?
Mark Zuckerberg wearing a name badge and walking past a hedgerow in a park.
Mark Zuckerberg's public image is recovering thanks to his new fitness obsession and leadership through tech's tough times.

In 2017, Zuckerberg announced that his personal challenge for the year — an annual tradition of his since 2009 — was to visit every US state. The stops he made sparked speculation that he had plans to run for president one day, but he denied the rumors.

Cambridge Analytica scandal
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg hearing Congress Senate

In March 2018, data analytics company Cambridge Analytica was revealed to have harvested data from over 50 million Facebook users' profiles — a number Facebook later said was closer to 87 million — using it to target voters during the 2016 election. The group was hired by the Trump campaign.

Zuckerberg was called on to appear in front of lawmakers in two testimonies that lasted five hours each. Zuckerberg left with a laundry list of requests for answers and action items.

Facebook's stock tumbled in the months following the congressional hearings and the Cambridge Analytica scandal. At its lowest, its stock was down 18% from what it had been before the story broke.

Facebook's global role questioned
brazil facebook

Facebook also faced accusations in 2018 that its moderation efforts weren't adequate in stopping the proliferation of hate speech and disinformation on its network. Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp were cited as contributing to political violence and deliberate misinformation in Myanmar, India, Germany, the Philippines, Brazil, and more.

Sources: Reuters, Insider, Buzzfeed News

Instagram co-founders depart
Mike Krieger Kevin Systrom instagram
Instagram cofounders Mike Krieger, left, and Kevin Systrom.

In September 2018, Instagram cofounders Kevin Systrom and Mike Krieger abruptly announced they were leaving Facebook. It was later reported they had left amid "growing tensions" with Zuckerberg, and that the pair was fighting with Facebook leadership over Instagram's "autonomy."

Sources: Bloomberg, Insider

WhatsApp co-founders speak out
Jan Koum Brian Acton
WhatsApp cofounders Brian Acton and Jan Koum.

The departure of Instagram's cofounders was quickly followed with scathing remarks from WhatsApp cofounder Brian Acton, who detailed disagreements with Facebook executives over user privacy. Both WhatsApp cofounders had left the company earlier that year.

Source: Forbes, Washington Post

Facebook data hack
mark zuckerberg facebook

To add to an already scandal-ridden year, Facebook announced in September 2018 it had been hacked. Around 30 million users had their personal information compromised, making it the worst hack in Facebook's 15-year history.

Stepping up security in wake of scandal
Mark Zuckerberg in his car

In 2019 and 2020, Facebook spent around $23 million on personal security for Zuckerberg and his family. In 2018, his security costs had nearly doubled in the wake of the Cambridge Analytica scandal.

Source: Insider, Insider

Congressional testimony again
Mark Zuckerberg

In October 2019, Zuckerberg was once again called on to testify in front of Congress — this time, about Facebook's plans for its Libra digital currency. Congressional members also grilled him on the company's content moderation practices and its lack of diversity.

Zuckerberg's goal for a new decade
Mark Zuckerberg
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg.

For 2020, Zuckerberg set a goal for the decade. "My goal for the next decade isn't to be liked but to be understood," Zuckerberg said. After the criticism it faced in dealing with political misinformation in 2016, the company geared up for a "tough year" with the 2020 presidential election.

Source: Insider

Antitrust Congressional testimony
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg tech antitrust hearing

Zuckerberg testified before Congress yet again in 2020 — alongside Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos, and Sundar Pichai — over matters of antitrust. Facebook was later hit with two antitrust suits that sought to break up the company.

Source: Insider

Chan, Zuckerberg fight COVID-19
mark zuckerberg priscilla chan facebook
Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg.

Throughout the coronavirus pandemic, Zuckerberg attempted to quash misinformation about the virus and vaccines on Facebook, hosted regular town halls with virus experts, and, through the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, contributed millions to finding COVID-19 treatments.

Source: Insider, Insider, Insider

Facebook deals with Trump post-Jan. 6
Donald Trump Mark Zuckerberg

Early in 2021, following the violent insurrection at the US Capitol, Zuckerberg announced that Facebook was suspending Trump indefinitely after he used the platform to "condone rather than condemn the actions of his supporters." The company's Oversight Board later upheld Trump's ban, though Meta went on to reinstate his account in 2023, and Trump made his first post upon returning to the platform this March.

Source: Insider, Insider, Insider, Insider

Another major Facebook data breach
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg.

Facebook experienced yet another major data breach in 2021. This time, 533 million Facebook users' phone numbers and personal data were leaked online.

Source: Insider

Facebook becomes Meta
Workers in front of Facebook headquarters pull off cover of the old "thumbs up" sign to reveal the new Meta logo
Employees change the sign outside Meta's headquarters in Menlo Park, California.

Facebook announced in October 2021 that it would change its corporate name to Meta to reflect its ambition to become "metaverse first." The company began trading under the new stock ticker MVRS on December 1, 2021.

Source: Insider

New Meta milestone
delete Facebook bad for mental health research study

In February 2022, Meta hit a new milestone, though not a positive one: Facebook's user numbers shrunk for the first time in its history, sending the stock plummeting.

Source: Insider

Sheryl Sandberg leaves Facebook
sheryl sandberg mark zuckerberg facebook
Sheryl Sandberg and Mark Zuckerberg walk together at the Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference.

Zuckerberg's longtime second-in-command, COO Sheryl Sandberg, announced in June 2022 that she would leave the company. "Fourteen years later, it is time for me to write the next chapter of my life," she wrote on Facebook.

Source: Insider

Expecting again
Mark Zuckerberg Priscilla Chan
Mark Zuckerberg and his wife Priscilla Chan.

In September 2022, Zuckerberg's wife was pregnant with their third child together. In March 2023, he announced the birth of their third daughter, Aurelia. "You're such a little blessing," he wrote in an Instagram post.

Zuckerberg's net worth drops
mark zuckerberg

Zuckerberg's wealth skyrocketed over the course of the last few years, but took a major hit in 2022. Though he started that year with a $125 billion fortune, it had dropped to $35.2 billion by November, making Zuckerberg the 29th-richest person in the world at the time.

Source: Bloomberg

Meta layoffs
Mark Zuckerberg in lights

Also in November, Zuckerberg announced Meta would lay off more than 11,000 people, roughly 13% of its workforce, in the biggest cull in the company's history.

The layoffs were caused in part by overhiring during the pandemic tech boom. "At the start of Covid, the world rapidly moved online and the surge of e-commerce led to outsized revenue growth," he said at the time. "Many people predicted this would be a permanent acceleration that would continue even after the pandemic ended. I did too, so I made the decision to significantly increase our investments. Unfortunately, this did not play out the way I expected."

In Meta's earnings release for Q4 2022 in February 2023, Zuckerberg hinted more cuts could be coming when he said 2023 would be Meta's "year of efficiency." The following month, he confirmed those suspicions, announcing Meta would lay off 10,000 additional workers in a second round of job cuts.

Source: Insider, Insider, Insider, Insider

Metaverse faces questions
Mark Zuckerberg as an avatar during Facebook or Meta Connect 2022
Mark Zuckerberg as an avatar during Connect 2022

Some Meta investors remain unhappy with Zuckerberg's metaverse plans, and shares of the company fell 24% after the company disclosed in October 2022 that it missed earnings targets. Zuckerberg said he intends to continue spending billions on Meta's VR division and building the metaverse.

Source: Insider

Meta stock buybacks
Man with blue umbrella with back against Meta logo.
The Meta logo.

Meta announced a $40 billion stock buyback in February to appease shareholders as the company's business and revenue growth stalled. News of the buyback sent shares up 23%, and Zuckerberg consequently saw his net worth rise, gaining roughly $12 billion in a single day. Today, his net worth is around $75.8 billion, making him the 13th-richest person in the world.

Source: Insider, TheStreet, Bloomberg Billionaires Index

Read the original article on Business Insider


from Business Insider https://ift.tt/ln47OFI

Thursday, September 21, 2023

Americans are cheaping out big time on restaurant tips. Here are the states with the worst and best tippers.

A hand passing a bill with money poking out to another hand.
A person paying their restaurant bill.
  • Restaurant tipping rates in the US have dipped below 20%, per an industry report by Toast
  • Delaware is in the lead with the highest tipping rate at 21.5%.
  • Washington and California are at the bottom of the pack, at 18.0% and 17.4% respectively.

Restaurant tipping rates across the US took a dip in the second quarter of 2023, according to an industry report published by the restaurant software company Toast on September 12.

Toast, which says it works with about 93,000 restaurants in the US, introduced its first "Restaurant Trends Report" in February 2022. The company said its report aggregated sales data from selected restaurants and areas on its platform.

According to Toast's report, the average restaurant tips servers received across all 50 states was 18.9% for the second quarter of 2023. That's down from 19.0% in the year's first quarter.

Toast's report ranked the average restaurant tips for all 50 states. According to their report, Delaware is leading the pack with an average tip rate of 21.5%, followed by Indiana and Kentucky, tied at 20.6%.

In contrast, average tipping rates were the lowest in California, at 17.4%, per Toast's report. Also making the list for the worst tippers were Washington, at 18%, and Nevada and Florida, at 18.2% and 18.3%, respectively.

Delaware and California's titles for best and worst tippers were the same in the first quarter of 2021, per Toast's May 31 report.

The company also tracked the tipping rates at full-service restaurants. According to the US Department of Agriculture, full-service restaurants usually offer table service. The definition includes both casual and fine-dining restaurants.

Toast said that tipping rates for full-service restaurants dropped to 19.4% in the second quarter, down from 19.7% in the first quarter.

This number was the lowest average tip amount for full-service restaurants Toast has recorded since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, per the company's report.

Toast cites three reasons for the decline in tips — increased "tipping fatigue" among consumers, a rising cost of living due to inflation, and restaurants' introduction of service charges.

How much to tip is a decision that rests with patrons, but a recommended amount of 15% to 20%, regardless of the service or industry, is the norm. This, according to Tim Urban, a writer from Wait But Why, who asked 100 service workers in New York City how much people tipped them.

However, the act of tipping itself has sparked controversy in the US.

According to a survey by consumer financial services company Bankrate published in June, nearly one in three Americans believe that tipping culture has gone "out of control." This summer, customers also told Insider that more stores and services have begun asking them for tips.

In May, a customer who received a tip prompt at a self-checkout kiosk told The Wall Street Journal that they thought such a prompt was a form of "emotional blackmail."

Read the original article on Business Insider


from Business Insider https://ift.tt/07sxXN2

Climate change is already costing us money, but we have a chance to limit the worst of it and prosper. Here's how.

California wildfire
Extreme weather is occurring more often. These events pose risks to the economy.

This article is part of Insider's "The True Cost of Extreme Weather" project. Read more here.

The climate crisis is about many things. One of them is that tiny numbers add up to big effects.

About two degrees Fahrenheit. That's how much the planet has warmed since the preindustrial era, before the advent of smokestacks and cars.

At least $165 billion. That's how much the US recorded in weather-related damage last year — a total that can't all be blamed on the climate crisis, but has been made worse by a warming world.

This story keeps getting replayed around the world and in people's wallets. 

Those costs will only climb if we don't address the climate crisis, economists tell Insider. But in these sometimes-scary numbers, there are is also opportunity — a chance to remake the global economy into one that's far more resilient and in which the climate isn't blowing holes in our wallets. 

The ultimate goal, Amir Jina, an environmental economist at the University of Chicago, told Insider, should be to create a world where "climate or weather is a problem as boring as plumbing."

But to get there, we'll need to spend a lot of money up front and be real about the climate costs we're already paying — even if we don't always notice them.

The full costs of extreme weather are often hidden

The biggest fires, floods, and heat waves tend to draw headlines. But for years, the more subtle effects of extreme weather had gone pretty much unnoticed. That's changing. 

Research over the past decade has exposed the wider-ranging fallout from wild weather. It's been linked to poorer health and higher mortality, of course. Yet extreme weather is also linked to costs like lower productivity at work, reduced crop yields, and worse mental health. It's also tied to an increased risk of suicide, and higher rates of property crime, murder, rape, and civil unrest.

In short, "How's the weather?" is becoming an increasingly important question. Weather extremes put a strain on society, and that leaves the social safety net to pick up the slack. 

"The science on this in the past 10 years has just shown that even in the wealthiest countries, we are very much susceptible to exposure to weather, heat, disasters, etc. in a way which we probably thought we could adapt our way out or spend our way out of," Jina said.

One study looking at the cost of hurricanes between 1979 and 2002 found that about a decade on, the storms cost about tenfold more than the initial amount spent on disaster relief. Those costs, the study found, were hidden in local budgets, in spending on social programs, and in insurance payouts. 

Two women wade through waist-deep water carrying items from their homes.
People in Tarpon Springs, Florida, had to evacuate their homes after Hurricane Idalia inundated the area over the summer.

All of these sleeper effects cost money. And that has to come from somewhere. This "affects the taxes, it affects health insurance, and many other costs that we pay towards the running of the government, and it spreads down across the economy," Jina said.  

"There's almost no sector of the economy that people have looked at where we haven't seen a negative effect — particularly of heat," he added.

Still, for many of us, unless we get hit with a big event, we don't always notice when we encounter these costs. 

"You could pick up the shadow of extremely hot days on people's incomes at the end of the year," Jina said. "There's this incremental increase in costs that people are facing, where no one in the US, or no one in the world, is truly insulated from the economic consequences of climate change."

As climate disasters rise, social safety nets start to strain

The steepest cost of extreme weather can't be measured in dollars and cents: People are dying, losing loved ones, and forgoing livelihoods.

Yet, for now, governments can offset many of the most acute financial costs of catastrophic events by drawing on emergency funds and letting some of the bills fall to private insurance. 

The COVID-19 pandemic was a similar type of catastrophe, Creon Butler, the director of the global economy and finance program at the London think tank Chatham House, told Insider. 

Even though the crisis brought enormous costs, many governments managed to shell out enough money to insulate their populations from the worst economic pain, he said.

Alan Sibaja wears a head covering for sun protection while working with a leaf blower amid the city's worst heat wave on record on July 24, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona.
Record-high temperatures hit Phoenix over the summer.

Those safety nets and economic buffers will likely start to strain and fail in a warmer world, Butler said, as catastrophes become more common.

Just look at property insurance. 

"Insurance only works if the frequency of events doesn't change," Butler said. In a world where extreme weather becomes the norm, "private insurance won't be able to cope with that."

At first, your premiums might start growing so that insurers can keep making a profit, Jina said. Down the line, insurers might decide to pull out of a market entirely. That's already happening in parts of the US.

As the government starts shouldering more of the relief costs, taxes could go up and spending on other priorities like health or education could go down.

"It begins to then raise the question, can the government constantly protect its public?" Butler said. "And the answer is probably no."

Economies lose out if they don't control climate change 

Economists haven't agreed on exactly how much climate change will cost in the future, though they do tend to share the sentiment that unless we limit emissions fast, these costs are going to be very difficult to deal with.

"Each new piece of information we learn is showing that the problem is actually worse than we thought," Jina said. 

One 2017 paper by Jina and his colleagues, which takes into account climate disasters and the growing effect of extreme weather on society, provides a sneak peek at how much the warming climate could cost the US by the end of the century.

A person wearing a face mask takes photos of the skyline as smoke from wildfires in Canada cause hazy conditions in New York City on June 7, 2023.
Smoke from Canadian wildfires turned the sky orange over New York City during the summer.

It found that if little effort is made to control emissions — meaning temperatures rise by about three to six degrees Fahrenheit — these costs could strip about 2% to 5% off of the US gross domestic product every year between 2080 and 2099. 

If that estimate proves right, the economy "is probably still going to be growing," but the price of climate change will compound year over year to enormous, avoidable costs, Jina said.

"If we think about the future — even very conservatively — the benefits of mitigation always outweigh the costs," he said. 

This situation could be made worse by a looming financial "mega shock," which could arise as more people wake up to the reality of the climate crisis, Butler said.  

Investors could suddenly pull out of markets, developing countries could quickly lose access to international financial markets, and people could demand governments bring in rapid policy changes as they see the weather get worse, Butler forecasted in a blog post.

All of this means the longer people take to realize drastic action is needed, the more abrupt the transition will be. And economies aren't very good at dealing with rapid change.

Mitigation and adaptation are going to be expensive, but they'll pay off 

There's now a "golden hour" to limit the worst of the effects of climate change and reach the best scenario available today, Jina said. 

Donna LaMountain, 51, surveys damage on Pine Island Road on Thursday, Sept. 29, 2022, in Matlacha after Hurricane Ian made landfal
A woman inspects the damage on Pine Island Road, Florida, after the passage of Hurricane Ian.

Unfortunately, historic emissions mean that some of the effects of the climate crisis are inevitable, per Jina. 

That means some will need to relocate and pricey infrastructure will need to be built to protect others from harsher environments. Countries will also need to invest to slow the release of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere by moving away from fossil fuels and investing in measures to suck carbon dioxide out of the air.

But those measures won't come cheap. 

The Biden administration has already earmarked $52 billion to tackle the climate crisis for 2024. That's likely not enough. Demand for climate spending could make for difficult economic times, Butler said. 

"We've got lots of priorities in terms of social care, general health, retirement, and so on. But none of that makes much sense unless you are actually protecting your public," said Butler. "And governments are going to have to choose."

With effort, the climate crisis could be made "boring"

Despite a long list of worries, there's reason for optimism: Climate change has never been so visible, and it's never been higher on the political agenda of government and international meetings, Jina and Butler said. At the same time, the price of renewable energy has dropped much faster than many analysts predicted. 

Both Jina and Butler said it's wrong to see the spending going to the net-zero transition as a loss. Instead, they said, we should see it as a necessary investment to build a sustainable and climate-resilient economy. 

"We currently have a system, both an energy system and an economic system, where we are quite susceptible to fluctuations in climate, where we are quite susceptible to big disasters, because of an interlinked economy," Jina said. "I would like a transition to an energy economy, facing this global energy challenge that we have, where this just becomes a completely boring issue."

Jina points to how countries brought down the death toll from diarrheal diseases by rolling out plumbing. That initial investment must have seemed huge, yet now we reap the benefits of that infrastructure without even thinking about it, even though stomach bugs are still around. 

In the same way, a future economy could mean that thanks to clever adaptation policies, people are able to thrive in spite of an inevitable rise in climate extremes.

"Everything is taken care of. We don't have to talk about it. It's not politically contentious, and people aren't dying," Jina said of this future economy.

Jina and Bulter said most economists agree investment in mitigation and adaptation today will be paid back many times over by the end of the century. 

There could be short-term benefits to this investment, according to the UN. For instance, cleaner air could save global economies $1.2 to $4.2 trillion by 2030 by reducing pollution. The transition to renewable energy could create up to 24 million jobs by 2030, compared with an estimated 6 million that could be lost, the UN reported.

As of now, however, only four countries — Botswana, Denmark, Namibia, and the UK — are on track to meet zero greenhouse-gas emissions by 2050, per the UN's World Intellectual Property Organization. 

"We're at this point where we could shift pretty dramatically. That really involves people raising their voices and people realizing there might be some short-term pain," Jina said.

Read the original article on Business Insider


from Business Insider https://ift.tt/7EoQZN6