Saturday, August 12, 2023

A Democratic lawmaker with over $200,000 in student debt says millions of borrowers will soon have to 'postpone their lives' with payments about to resume

rep summer lee
Rep. Summer Lee, D-Pa., attends the House Oversight and Accountability Committee hearing titled "Overdue Oversight of the Capital City: Part II," in Rayburn Building on Tuesday, May 16, 2023.
  • Democratic Rep. Summer Lee has over $200,000 in student debt from college and law school.
  • She told Insider that surging interest has prevented her from making a dent on her balance.
  • She said that millions of borrowers will soon have to adjust their lives to afford another monthly bill.
  •  

Pennsylvania Democratic Rep. Summer Lee has over $200,000 in student debt.

That's a result of her education from both Pennsylvania State University and Howard University School of Law, which she graduated from in 2009 and 2015, respectively. Lee told Insider in an interview that as a first-generation college student, taking on student loans was her only option to obtain an education and progress in her career — so that's exactly what she did.

"When I went to college as a 17-year-old, I had a single mom who had been recently laid off who had no true ability to contribute to my college education, but it was really important that I went and got one," Lee said. 

"I either took this loan debt or I didn't get this education, I missed this educational opportunity," she continued. "So as a 17-year-old, that seemed like a no-brainer. It seemed like something that will work itself out once you entered your career field, but that is not necessarily the case."

But despite making consistent payments on her balance since she became a member of the Pennsylvania state legislature in 2018, Lee said that her balance "never decreases" due to the surging interest on the loans that makes it difficult for many borrowers to pay down the principal balance.

And while she, and millions of other federal borrowers, have had a reprieve from making payments for the past three years due the payment pause former President Donald Trump first implemented in March 2020, that pause is ending in September — and Lee said her monthly payment is expected to be higher than her mortgage.

She said she knows she is far from alone in that. "The reality is that we're on-ramping millions of borrowers right back into a debt servitude," she said. 

"People who may have bought homes will now have to delay that, people who would have started families who will now have to think again," she continued. "From doctors, to lawyers, to teachers, to social workers, people who are not going to pursue the passions that they have, or who are not going to fill positions that we need, because they're going to be deterred by seeing how hard it is for college graduates to survive and to contribute in our communities."

At the end of June, the Supreme Court struck down President Joe Biden's broad plan to cancel up to $20,000 in student debt for federal borrowers. While the Education Department soon after announced a new plan to enact relief using a different law, it would not be ready in time for the payment resumption. To give borrowers some additional relief, the department announced a 12-month "on-ramp" period once payments resume in October during which missed payments would not be reported to credit agencies. Still, interest will still accrue during that time, and borrowers will have to determine how they will handle another monthly bill. 

"There is no end in sight," Lee said. "They're going to have to adjust their lives, postpone their lives, to figure out a burden that they should not have had to have had in the first place."

'We need a Plan C through Z'

The Plan A for Biden's student debt relief was the HEROES Act of 2003, which gives the education secretary the ability to waive or modify student-loan balances in connection with a national emergency like COVID-19. The Supreme Court ruled that Biden was overstepping his authority using that law to give relief to borrowers as a result of the pandemic, so after the high court's decision, Biden announced his Plan B: using the Higher Education Act of 1965, which does not require reliance on a national emergency.

Still, Lee said that more safeguards need to be in place given the constant legal challenges to student-debt relief: "Obviously we're holding out hope that there's going to be some relief, but I think that we need to start preparing. We need a Plan C through Z."

Over the past few weeks, a number of Biden's targeted debt relief policies for borrowers on income-driven repayment plans and those who said they were defrauded by the schools they attended have been blocked due to conservative legal challenges. While an Education Department spokesperson said it's "not going to back down or give an inch when it comes to defending working families," some borrowers have previously told Insider the uncertainty is leaving them in financial limbo.

While Republican lawmakers have been critical of relief and have introduced legislation to block it from being carried out, Lee said she will continue to push for debt cancellation to reach borrowers about to reenter repayment.

"When we consider who our government has bailed out in the past, industries that have taken advantage of consumers and have taken advantage of our communities who have received bailouts, and we would look back and tell students, and we would tell generations of our nation that they're not worth protecting, that they're not worth helping, I think is a wrong message to send," Lee said.

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Friday, August 11, 2023

Country Garden, one of China's real-estate behemoths, could look at restructuring its debt after missing key interest payments this week: JPMorgan

The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is pictured at the Shanghai Country Garden Center in Shanghai
Chinese developer Country Garden missed bond coupon payments on Monday, igniting concerns about its liquidity.
  • Property giant Country Garden has had a bad week. It missed interest payments and issued a profit warning.
  • The warning is a "prelude to an ultimate credit event," paving the way for debt restructuring, per JPMorgan.
  • Concerns about a restructuring started swirling after local outlet Yicai reported this process could begin soon.

Embattled Chinese property developer Country Garden may be preparing to enter a debt restructuring, JPMorgan Chase analysts wrote in a Friday note seen by Insider.

Country Garden racked up 1.4 trillion Chinese yuan, or almost $200 billion, in liabilities at the end of 2022. It also faces 7.8 billion Chinese yuan, or $1.1 billion, in payments for notes and bonds in September.

JPMorgan's assessment came after the property developer issued a profit warning on Thursday. The real-estate giant expects to record a net loss between 45 billion to 55 billion yuan for the first half of 2023 due to "severe difficulties and challenges" for the property market since 2021. 

To contextualize the profit warning, Country Garden reported a net loss of 6.1 billion yuan in 2022 amid a property crisis in China. It was the company's first full-year loss since its 2007 listing in Hong Kong.

While the expected net loss isn't a surprise, "what's more important is management admitting that CG is facing serious difficulties," wrote a group of JPMorgan analysts led by Karl Chan, the bank's head of research for China property equity.

"We think this is likely the prelude to an ultimate credit event, and the company might already be in preparation for debt restructuring," the JPMorgan analysts wrote.

JPMorgan's assessment came amid Chinese financial media outlet Yicai reporting Friday that Country Garden hired China International Capital Corporation, or CICC, to soon lead a debt restructuring. The news has been picked up by various media outlets including Reuters.

Another analyst feels Country Garden could restructure if it's unable to raise cash in time.

Country Garden's liquidity position is "very stretched," with dollar coupon payments scheduled every month for the remainder of this year, Nicholas Chen, CreditInsights' analyst for Chinese corporates, told Insider.

The developer is likely to raise cash in various ways, including selling its assets and injecting shareholders' funds but "should these be insufficient, Country Garden would likely default and enter into a comprehensive debt restructuring," Chen added.

Country Garden is the latest high-profile Chinese real-estate giant to face a liquidity crunch in two years as China's economy struggles to recover following the COVID-19 pandemic.

The drama at the private developer is renewing contagion fears that trouble in the world's second-largest economy could spill over to other sectors in the country and globally.

However, Beijing is likely to "defend the line" between privately owned and state-owned enterprises to prevent a spillover effect, Iris Chen, an analyst at Nomura, wrote in a Thursday note. Privately owned enterprises "will be on their own, and their upcoming maturities will be key to evaluating their survival possibility," Chen added.

Country Garden's bondholders, meanwhile, are watching if Country Garden's chair, Yang Huiyan, will use her vast fortune to pump money into the company which is currently facing a liquidity crisis, according to a Bloomberg report on Friday.

Country Garden closed 6% lower at 98 Hong Kong cents, or 13 cents, apiece after hitting a record low of 89 Hong Kong cents on Friday. They are 63% lower so far this year.

Country Garden and CICC did not immediately respond to requests from Insider for comment.

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The US economy seems to be getting a boost from Hollywood - but Hollywood is missing out

Hollywood sign
The Hollywood Sign.
  • Hollywood seems to be boosting the US economy, but its home state of California is being left out.
  • The "Barbenheimer" craze has lit up the box office and driven consumer spending in the economy. 
  • But Hollywood strikes over the last 100 days have likely dealt a $3 billion blow to California. 

Hollywood has started filling movie theaters again with box-office hits like "Barbie" and "Oppenheimer," but ongoing strikes in its home state are limiting the benefits for its home state of California.

Crowds have flocked to see the highly anticipated blockbuster films, with some people returning for multiple viewings. The excitement has been a boon for struggling movie chains, still reeling from the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns. 

AMC Theatres has emerged as one big winner from the "Barbenheimer" phenomenon. It enjoyed the best week in its history between July 21 and July 27, as the pair of movies fueled the largest single-week admissions revenue in its 103-year history, per Boxoffice Pro

Indeed, Greta Gerwing's "Barbie" recently surpassed $1 billion at the global box office just three weeks after its release, making it one of the highest-grossing movies ever.

The rush of moviegoers has helped boost the US economy, with consumers showing they're willing to spend. Consumer spending is a key driver of economic growth, representing 68% of US GDP. 

The LA-made movies couldn't come at a better time for the US economy, as higher interest rates and inflation spark fears of a looming recession among investors.

However, the benefits of Hollywood's big summer have been at least partly offset in its home state of California. 

A 100-day strike among writers and actors in Hollywood has likely dealt a $3 billion blow to California's economy so far, experts say. The walkout is a meld of two unions: The Writers Guild of America and the actors' union SAG-AFTRA, both protesting over the lack of income they're getting from streaming platforms and worries about the threat of AI to their jobs. 

The strike isn't just impacting writers and actors either. Local restaurants, catering companies, construction workers, dry cleaners, and more are also hurting from the shutout.

Should the strikes last till October, California could see up to a $5 billion hit to its economy, entertainment industry expert Todd Holmes told CNBC's Make It

A dream for the US but a nightmare for California: Hollywood is having a double-edged effect on the nation. 

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Thursday, August 10, 2023

US Special Operations Command is working on a new mini-sub to carry SEALs to their targets in style

Lockheed SOCOM Dry Combat Submersible
A Dry Combat Submersible leaves Lockheed's facility in Palm Beach, Florida for open-water sea trials, which were completed in March 2023.
  • US Special Operations Command and Lockheed Martin are working on a new combat mini-sub.
  • The Dry Combat Submersible would shield SEALs from the sea, unlike other delivery vehicles.
  • The development of the DCS and other underwater vessels reflects SOCOM's focus on future warfare.

Rising tensions with Russia and China and the conflict in Ukraine have the US military focusing on what it would need to fight a major conventional war, but US special-operations forces are also updating the way they do things.

For US Navy SEALs in particular, the need to cover long distances underwater and arrive undetected and ready to fight has led US Special Operations Command to develop new underwater vehicles to get them on target.

In June, SOCOM declared initial operational capability for one of those vessels, the Dry Combat Submersible, a milestone that moves it a step closer to being fully fielded.

'Warm, rested, hydrated and ready'

Navy SEAL Delivery Vehicle
SEALs prepare to launch a SEAL Delivery Vehicle from the submarine USS Philadelphia in the Atlantic Ocean in May 2005.

The battery-powered Dry Combat Submersible is about 40 feet long and weighs a little over 28 tons. It is slightly larger than the SEAL Delivery Vehicles currently in use and won't be able to fit in the dry deck chambers that can be attached to the hull of a Navy submarine. It will instead have to be launched and recovered by a surface vessel.

But perhaps the biggest difference is that the Dry Combat Submersible keeps frogmen dry, unlike the SEALs' other submersibles, which are open to the sea.

The DCS model designed for SOCOM by Lockheed Martin and its partners can carry 10 personnel — two crew and eight passengers — and has a maximum operating depth of nearly 200 feet as well as a range of nearly 140 miles when sailing at 5 knots, according to naval analyst H I Sutton.

"The Dry Combat Submersible has the potential to transform undersea warfare for special operators," said Gregg Bauer, a vice president at Lockheed Martin, which received the contract to develop DCS in 2016.

Navy Ohio-class guided-missile submarine USS Georgia seal delivery vehicle
US Navy guided-missile sub USS Georgia leaves Naples, Italy carrying a dry deck chamber in August 2009.

"DCS provides safe, clandestine delivery for occupants over long distances in a completely dry environment and features a lock-in and lock-out chamber," Bauer said in a press release. "Occupants arrive at the mission warm, rested, hydrated and ready, making this vessel a key advantage in mission success."

The lock-in/lock-out chamber allows operators to enter and exit while the submersible is submerged, Lockheed says, though the maximum depth for its use is just under 100 feet, according to Sutton.

While SOCOM's declaration moves the DCS closer to full fielding, the Pentagon's chief weapons tester said its report for fiscal year 2022, published in January, that SOCOM had "delayed the at-sea portion of operational test" until this fiscal year due to Covid-19, weather conditions, and "materiel issues" on the first DCS.

The report said the testing office would share its assessment of DCS operational testing after the current fiscal year, which ends in September.

Undersea armada

Navy SEAL Delivery Vehicle
A SEAL Delivery Vehicle is loaded onto the submarine USS Dallas in Norfolk in February 2006.

US special-operations leaders have big ambitions for the Dry Combat Submersible and their other mini-subs. At a conference last year, the program manager for special-operations undersea systems at SOCOM said the DCS "is like an electric truck" and would need to be capable of different roles and missions.

The US Navy and Naval Special Warfare Command have also been designing the Mark 11 Shallow Water Combat Submersible, which will replace the venerable Mark 8 SEAL Delivery Vehicle that has been in use since the 1980s.

The Mark 11 is meant to carry small teams of Navy SEALs into an enemy harbors and shores without detection. It is 23 feet long and can hold six frogmen — two pilots and four combat divers — and is expected to reach full operational capability in 2027.

The Mark 11 has a greater operational range, advanced sensors, a better navigation system, as well as a modular command-and-control structure that will allow the Navy to easily incorporate new technology. New tech and engineering will also allow the Mark 11 to operate at depths of about 165 feet. Its crew and passengers will also have to wear dry suits and oxygen tanks.

Naval Special Warfare Navy SEAL Delivery Vehicle Mark 11
Naval Special Warfare operators train aboard a SEAL Delivery Vehicle Mark 11 at Pearl Harbor in May 2020.

The British military is already seeking Mark 11s to replace the SDVs used by the Special Boat Service, the British counterpart to the SEALs. The US State Department approved the sale of three Mark 11s to the UK in September 2018.

The Mark 8 could deploy from a dry deck chamber on a submarine or be launched from a surface ship or an aircraft. Naval Special Warfare Command likely wanted to retain this capability with the Mark 11 in order to use it effectively across the vast expanse of the Indo-Pacific region.

The new submersibles are being developed with the idea of a complex fight across the vast distances of the Indo-Pacific in mind, and as a part of that, a goal for both is better communications capability and power usage, another Navy official said at the conference last year.

The Navy wants SEALs and other personnel in the Dry Combat Submersible and in the Mark 11 to be able to talk to each other, to other US Navy vessels, and to other friendly forces while also being able to go farther and operate longer.

Stavros Atlamazoglou is a defense journalist specializing in special operations, a Hellenic Army veteran (national service with the 575th Marine Battalion and Army HQ), and a Johns Hopkins University graduate. He is working toward a master's degree in strategy and cybersecurity at Johns Hopkins' School of Advanced International Studies.

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Domestic airlines are getting crushed because everyone wants to escape to Europe

Tourists surround the Trevi fountain in Rome, Italy on July 17.
US Tourists are flocking to European destinations like Rome this summer.
  • International travel demand is outpacing domestic demand as Americans flock to Europe in 2023.
  • This is keeping domestic airfare below 2019 levels — good news for those vacationing closer to home.
  • Carriers like Southwest, Spirit, and JetBlue are forecasting lower revenue due to the slowdown.

If you've caught yourself scrolling through Instagram wondering why everyone seems to be on vacation in Europe this summer, you're far from alone.

Despite the fires in Greece, heatwaves in Spain, and suffocating, selfie-taking crowds in Italy, Europe has emerged as the top destination for American traveling abroad this summer, according to a June report from the travel booking site Hopper.

Our international wanderlust may be a worrying trend for domestic airlines — but it makes now the perfect time to buy flights for fall and winter vacations within the US.

According to weekly data from Bank of America, international bookings are ahead of domestic year-over-year by about 8.5% as travelers flock to overseas destinations in Europe and Asia.

Sonia Bhagwan, travel advisor and founder of Dream Vacations, told Insider the surge is a result of Americans' desire to experience "bucket list destinations that they've always wanted to see, but never had the money or the courage to do so," following the end of COVID-19 travel restrictions.

This is good for major airlines like American Airlines, Delta Air Lines, and United Airlines that have a global presence and won't be as impacted by the domestic decline — United, for example, boasts itself as the "the largest US carrier across both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans."

However, airlines that predominantly fly in the US are likely to face headwinds.

Southwest Airlines, which is the US' biggest domestic carrier, said in a July earnings call that it expects to earn less revenue in the third quarter — suggesting domestic demand is on the decline.

Low-cost carriers Spirit Airlines, Frontier Airlines, and JetBlue Airways had similar outlooks.

"I think you're seeing last year was maybe the year for domestic, and this year is the year for international," Frontier CEO Barry Biffle told CNBC on August 2.

Redburn analyst James Goodall said Monday that domestic airlines are likely to feel this pressure for not just months, but years, Barron's reported.

Just look at airlines' stock prices over the past month and you can see what's happening: Airlines that fly the most domestically have been hammered — with Southwest and JetBlue down about 13% and 30%, respectively, over the past month, for instance.

Whereas airlines with more international flying, like United and Delta, are down only 5% and 7%.American is also taking a 15% hit, but Goodall noted the Texas-based carrier has the "greatest exposure to the more competitive domestic market."

Good news for US travelers planning trips closer to home

Frontier Airlines aircraft with a bird on the tail.
US budget carriers like Southwest, Frontier, and Spirit have all held massive sales and promotions for fall flights this summer.

As domestic airlines take a hit, consumers could reap the benefits with cheap fares and fall promotions designed to stimulate demand.

In Hopper's quarter three consumer travel index published on Tuesday, domestic airfare is trending down at $257 roundtrip, which is about 11% below both 2022 and 2019 levels.

It attributes this to decreasing fuel costs and added seat capacity compared to summer 2022, as well as travelers flocking overseas after being locked out for nearly three years during COVID.

But don't get too excited — Hopper said it expects prices to go up by the holidays as demand increases and timing is less flexible.

Southwest, Frontier, and Spirit have all held massive sales and promotions for fall flights this summer, a strategy typically used to boost slow bookings, according to Bloomberg Opinion.

Bhagwan said she's telling her clients to buy flights for Christmas and Spring break now, even though September is typically the best month to nab cheap airfare.

"As of probably three weeks ago, the airfare domestically has dropped drastically," she told Insider, adding that she's advising people to act quickly, as it "isn't going to last forever."

International pricing, on the other hand, is soaring.

According to Hopper, airfare to Europe is at a six-year high, averaging about $1,200 roundtrip. And, it doesn't expect ticket prices to drop anytime soon.

However, it noted fares to shorter-haul international destinations like Mexico and the Caribbean have fallen significantly since last summer thanks to increased capacity and lower fuel prices — a sigh of relief for vacationers.

"We used to be able to plan these [international] trips three to four months in advance," Bhagwan said. "Now I'm telling people they need to plan 10 to 12 months out in advance just because airfares are so high. Coupled with the Olympics that will be in Paris next summer, people are already starting to plan for that."

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Wednesday, August 9, 2023

Asia's once-richest woman lost 84% of her wealth — more than any billionaire since the COVID-19 pandemic — as China's property sector teeters on yet another crisis

yang huiyan
Asia's once-richest woman lost 84% of her wealth — more than any billionaire since the COVID-19 pandemic — as China's property sector teeters on yet another crisis.
  • Yang Huiyan, the chair of Chinese property giant Country Garden, lost about $29 billion of her wealth since June 2021.
  • According to Bloomberg, she lost $490 million on Tuesday alone as her company missed interest payments.
  • Country Garden's sales plummeted by 30% year-on-year in the first six months of 2023.

Yang Huiyan — once Asia's wealthiest woman — has lost more of her wealth than any billionaire since June 2021, as China's top property developer Country Garden grapples with a debt crisis.

Since its peak in June 2021, chairperson Yang's net worth has plummeted by 84%, or $28.6 billion, Bloomberg reported. The 41-year-old's net worth is now $5.5 billion, per Bloomberg's Billionaires Index

These losses come as Country Garden missed interest payments on two US-dollar-denominated bonds, according to various media reports, including a Reuters report on Wednesday. The company now has a 30-day grace period to avoid an official default. 

The Foshan-based company's Hong Kong-listed stocks have plunged by 20.4% since Monday. Yang — who derives much of her wealth from a 52.6% stake in the company, per a Monday report by ratings agency Moody's seen by Insider — saw her wealth tank by about $490 million on Tuesday alone. 

Before taking over as majority shareholder of the company from her father in 2007, Yang graduated from Ohio State University as part of the class of 2003 with a bachelor's degree in marketing and logistics.

But Country Garden's fortunes have waned since. The company remains China's biggest property developer in sales, but its market value has more than halved since the start of the year, according to the New York Times.

In July, the company reported sales of 128.76 billion yuan, or $17.8 billion, in the first six months of the year, marking a 30% decrease compared to the same period last year.

Yang — who became China's richest woman at 25 after the company's IPO — lost the spot of Asia's richest woman in August 2022 to Savitri Jindal. Jindal is India's richest woman and chairperson emeritus of the Indian conglomerate O.P. Jindal Group, per Bloomberg.

On July 30, Yang announced that she was giving away 55% of her shares in Country Garden to a charity founded by her younger sister in a payout then valued at $826 million, per Bloomberg.

Country Garden and Yang Huiyan did not respond to requests for comment sent by Insider.

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Norwegian's newest cruise ship will set sail this week — take a look around the ship complete with go-kart track and food hall

A rendering of the Norwegian Viva sailing at sea with a purple, pink, and dark blue sky.
The Norwegian Viva will embark on its maiden sailing on August 10.
  • The 3,220-guest Norwegian Viva has joined Norwegian Cruise Line's fleet ahead of its August 10 maiden sailing.
  • The Viva is Norwegian Prima's sister ship, which saw record bookings upon its debut.
  • See what it'll be like sailing aboard the new vessel with a go-kart track and 10-story slides. 
Norwegian Cruise Line has added a 19th ship to its fleet: the 965-foot long Norwegian Viva.
A rendering of the Norwegian Viva sailing at sea with a purple, pink, and dark blue sky.
The Norwegian Viva

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

And it's just about ready to begin revenue sailings. On August 10, the new vessel will embark on its maiden sailing before homeporting in San Juan, Puertro Rico from December through March 2024
A rendering of the open-aired La Terraza with lounge chairs facing the ocean.
La Terraza aboard the Norwegian Viva.
The new vessel was designed to serve as the Norwegian Prima's sister ship, which began sailing in 2022.
A rendering of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima's stern while the ship is at sea.
Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima.
And if the Viva follows in the Prima's footsteps, it could be one of Norwegian's most successful ships.
The amenities inside Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima cruise ship.
The Norwegian Prima.
When the Prima first opened for bookings in 2021, it quickly became the cruise line's "most in-demand ship ever" after it saw record number of bookings within the first day and week, the cruise line reported in 2021.
Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima
The Norwegian Prima.

Source: Insider

Let's take a look around the Viva to see if it'll capture the same attention as its successful sister vessel.
A rendering of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima sailing at sea with blue skies in the back.
Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Prima.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

The new Viva can accommodate 3,100 passengers inside what will be the cruise line's largest inside, oceanview, and balcony staterooms yet.
A rendering of a penthouse with a bedroom, living room, and balcony aboard the Norwegian Viva.
A penthouse with a balcony aboard the Norwegian Viva.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line, Norwegian Cruise Line

These hotel rooms at sea include accommodations in the Haven by Norwegian, a more exclusive collection of 107 designer suites that range from about 370 to 2,100 square feet.
A rendering of a penthouse with a bedroom, living room, and balcony aboard the Norwegian Viva.
A penthouse with a balcony aboard the Norwegian Viva.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

The Haven appeals to guests who want a more luxurious cruising experience with access to a butler, a private outdoor lounge, spa amenities, and a specialty Haven restaurant, lounge, and bars.
A rendering of two people sitting by an empty pool surrounded by lounge chairs while the Norwegian Viva is at sea during a sunset.
The Haven sundeck on the Norwegian Viva.
As Norwegian calls it, the Haven is a "ship-with-a-ship."
A rendering of a person stepping into an infinity pool on the side of the ship at sunset while the Norwegian Vida is at sea.
Infinity Beach aboard the Norwegian Viva.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

But if you're looking for a smaller, less expensive stateroom, opt for the studio.
A rendering of the side of the Norwegian Viva with a purple and blue twisting tube running down the ship.
The Norwegian Viva.
At 94 square feet, the studio is Viva's smallest accommodation designed for solo travelers.
A rendering of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva cruise ship with a pool, lounge seating.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll lifestyle footage.
The Haven is only accessible via key card, but the new ship will still have other leisure and recreational options to keep all passengers entertained at sea.
A rendering of the open-aired La Terraza with lounge chairs facing the ocean.
La Terraza aboard the Norwegian Viva.
For example, adults can bask in the sun at the Vibe Beach Club, an adults-only space with infinity hot tubs and a bar.
A rendering of people hanging out at the Vibe Beach Club on Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva.
The Norwegian Viva's Vibe Beach Club.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

If you're cruising with a family, there are plenty of child-friendly activities aboard the Viva ...
A rendering of the top deck and side of the Norwegian Viva as it sails on water at sunset.
The Norwegian Viva.
... including a three-level go-kart track for the competitive passengers …
Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva cruise ship's go-kart track. Two people are racing in the karts.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll lifestyle footage.
… a children's water park for the future swimmers …
A rendering of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva cruise ship at sea.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll footage.
… and 10-story tall dry slides.
A rendering of the side of the Norwegian Viva with a purple and blue twisting tube running down the ship.
The Norwegian Viva.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

There's also a mini-golf course, golfing simulator, escape rooms, and a game center with VR headsets, to name a few additional entertainment options.
Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva cruise ship arcade. Two people are wearing VR headsets playing a simulated racing game.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll lifestyle footage.
But if you're looking for more leisure activities, take a stroll on Viva's Ocean Boulevard, a large outdoor walking course that wraps around the ship.
A rendering of two people clinking wine glasses while on the glass bridge aboard the Norwegian Viva.
A glass bridge on Oceanwalk aboard the Norwegian Viva.
Along the way, you'll find pit stops that'll appeal to passengers looking for a relaxing day out at sea, including a glass bridge with views of the ocean …
A rendering of a glass bridge with a purple and blue sunset in the background aboard the Norwegian Viva.
A glass bridge on Oceanwalk aboard the Norwegian Viva.
… infinity pools, outdoor lounges with hammocks …
A rendering of a person stepping into an infinity pool on the side of the ship at sunset while the Norwegian Vida is at sea.
Infinity Beach aboard the Norwegian Viva.
… and Indulge Food Hall, a collective of 11 stalls that'll serve meals like rotisserie meats, salads, barbecue, noodles, Indian dishes, and tapas.
A close up of a salad on a plate.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll lifestyle footage.
If you prefer sit-down dining, Ocean Boulevard also has options like an Italian eatery, a cocktail and live music grill, and a Mexican restaurant.
A rendering of an empty Onda by Scarpetta on Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva.
Onda by Scarpetta on the Norwegian Viva

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

 

If this sounds like your dream vacation, you could book an 11-day sailing aboard the Viva for as cheap as $500 per person for an 11-day cruise from Lisbon, Portugal to Miami.
A rendering of the Norwegian Viva sailing at sea with a purple, pink, and dark blue sky.
The Norwegian Viva.

Source: Norwegian Cruise Line

This price then jumps to $2,820 per traveler for a 2024 19-day cruise from San Juan to Lisbon, Portugal. It may be pricier, but at least you'll be traveling on a ship with a both a go-kart and a VR arcade.
A rendering of the side of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva cruise ship with pools, lounge chairs, and staterooms.
A screenshot of Norwegian Cruise Line's Norwegian Viva b-roll footage.
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The freight recession is getting worse as the economy detoxes from the pandemic trucking boom

The freight recession is here as trucking sees a slowdown in the economy.
The freight recession is here as trucking sees a slowdown across the economy.
  • July data from Motive showed a contraction for US carriers and a 15% year-over-year decline in retail demand.
  • Unemployment for truck drivers could move higher as larger carriers, like Yellow, feel more pain. 
  • The freight recession may also signal a "detox" from the artificial demand spikes and gross margins seen in the pandemic. 

Even as Wall Street pulls back on its predictions of a looming economic downturn, a worsening freight recession is pointing to a slowdown in a key sector of the economy. 

A new report from trucking and freight analytics firm Motive showed that trucking employment and retail demand fell in July, and an increasing number of big carriers are leaving the market — and researchers expect the sector to keep contracting. 

Trends earlier this year suggested that the freight recession was limited to smaller businesses that couldn't keep up with fuel and trucking costs, but the latest data show the pain is moving upmarket to larger firms, Motive said. 

Change in authorized for hire carriers, Motive freight recession data
Month-over-month change in authorized for hire carriers

"Early in the freight recession smaller carriers got hit hardest by changing retail diesel and freight spot market prices, but as the conditions have continued, the larger fleets are feeling the effects more significantly," Motive researchers wrote, pointing to this week's Yellow bankruptcy filing. The trucking giant shuttered after a century of business, and had about 30,000 employees. It filed for Chapter 11 on Sunday, just three years after the federal government supplied it with $700 million in loans to stay afloat during the pandemic. 

Retail demand for trucking, too, trended downward in July after a brief uptick early in the month. 

"The first two weeks of July (which included July 4th and Amazon's Prime Day) seem to have marked the peak of demand for 2023 given this downshift," Motive researchers said. "This further supports the idea that the freight recession will remain through the rest of 2023."

All this has coincided with falling employment for truck drivers, as well as declining employment opportunities, with fewer new jobs available for displaced drivers. New carrier starts were down 7% year-over-year in July, and year-to-date remain 29% lower, according to Motive data.

To be sure, much of the freight recession may actually point to a reversion to pre-pandemic trends after years of elevated demand for e-commerce. Data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve illustrate that the downturn in online retail sales has been brought back in line with 10-year averages from before COVID-19 struck. 

"While the downturn in consumer demand and the resulting freight recession have been challenging for many carriers, it may also represent a 'detox' from the artificial highs of consumer demand (and gross margins) during the pandemic," according to Motive. "Similar to mortgage interest rates now being at more historically common levels, it may be that trucking's lack of growth is less a catastrophe and more a reversion to normal levels."

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An oversupply-led plunge in pork price has pushed the Chinese economy into deflation

Pork
Hogs are raised at Old Elm Farms, a fifth generation family farm, on May 5, 2020 near Sycamore, Illinois.
  • China's economic woes continue to mount, as CPI figures released Wednesday showing 0.3% deflation. 
  • Pork prices are a significant driver of the consumer price index, and have fallen 26% year-on-year. 
  • Deflation could have wider economic consequences, such as lowering Chinese consumer demand.

Chinese pork prices have plummeted by more than a quarter as the world's second largest economy slipped into deflation for the first time in over two years.

Consumer price figures fell by 0.3% Wednesday, the first decline since 2021, with the government under considerable pressure to introduce much-needed support into the economy.

Pork is the largest driver of the country's Consumer Price Index basket, comprising approximately 3% of it, per the Economist Intelligence Unit. "A rough rule of thumb is therefore that a 10% increase in the pork price will push up the CPI by 0.3%," the EIU said in a research note. 

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that pork prices have fallen 26% in July year-on-year, and this has led to a decline in the wider index. 

China is the world's largest producer and consumer of pork and it is widely reported that the government keeps a frozen reserve of the meat to ensure supply and price steadiness – though the exact amount is unclear. 

The swing in pork prices over the past many years has thrown a huge challenge in front of China's hog farmers. An outbreak of African swine fever that started in 2018 brought China's hog production down by nearly 40%, according to a report published by S&P global ratings in 2021.  

Oversupply is leading to deflation

A strict COVID-19 lockdown in China prompted a lack of supply of pork meat to the market as well as delay in this reaching the consumer.

Pork prices soared in October 2022 due to a tight supply market but the subsequent decline in prices since then is due to a number of factors including a recovery in African swine fever outbreak, a big backlog of pork meat from before as well as new pigs arriving in the market.

This oversupply and resulting decline in pork prices has weighed heavily on the country's consumer price index, pushing the country into the region of deflation.

Deflation is where the prices of goods and services decline – which may sound like good news for consumers' purchasing power, but falling prices pose a danger to the wider economy as individuals may postpone current purchases in the hopes of further reductions.

These figures add to the pile of worrying economic data for President Xi. Beijing must also contend with faltering growth, skyrocketing youth unemployment, and enormous amounts of debt

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Americans are about to have a much harder time paying their bills

Swiping a credit card
  • Americans held over $1 trillion in credit card debt in the second quarter of 2023, a new record.
  • That's according to the latest report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • More debt is languishing unpaid for months, as Americans prepare to resume student loan payments.

Americans are dealing with record-high bills — and it might be a cruel fall as more payments come due.

According to the latest data report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Americans held a record $1.03 trillion in credit card debt in the second quarter of 2023. That's an increase of $45 billion from the last quarter and marks another quarter of rising balances after an initial plunge early on in the pandemic.

The rise in credit card debt helped push total household debt to a record-high $17.06 trillion.

All told, Americans are in a lot of everyday debt, and there's no immediate relief in sight. An increasing number are letting balances languish for months without payment — and that's all before student loan payments restart in the fall. It's a worryingly cloudy picture for everyday consumers, who are still feeling hammered by slowly cooling inflation.

The second quarter saw auto debt grow by $20 billion to $1.58 trillion, and mortgage balances held strong at around $12 trillion. Student loan balances ticked down to $1.57 trillion, likely due to the continued payment pause. However, that also means those debts aren't impacting consumers' every day finances.

Bankrate also found that 60% of those with a credit card balance — 54 million people in total — have been indebted for at least a year. Per the New York Fed report, 8% of credit card debt balances were delinquent for 90 days or more, meaning that they had gone unpaid for months. The percentage of credit card debt flowing into serious delinquency rose from 3.35% in the second quarter of 2022 to 5.08% in the second quarter of 2023. 

Courtney Alev, consumer financial advocate at Credit Karma, told Insider that since the Fed started raising interest rates a while ago, the personal finance site has seen credit scores fall by an average of 13 points.

"We're actually seeing reflected in the data that people are carrying more debt, their utilization's going up, and it is seeing an impact on their credit," Alev said. 

And, with rising interest rates, "that debt has not been this expensive in over two decades," Alev added.

For the last seven quarters, credit card balances have grown year over year amid strong consumer spending despite high prices. However, the average credit card rate remains at an all-time high of over 20%.

This data comes just months before student-loan payments are set to resume after an over three-year pause. While both former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden extended the pause on federal payments and interest accrual numerous times to give borrowers financial relief during the pandemic, the bill to raise the debt ceiling that Biden signed into law in early June codified the end of that pause

That means that Biden cannot extend the pause again this year in connection with COVID-19 — and interest will begin accruing again on borrowers' balances in September, with their first bill coming due in October. While the New York Fed's report showed little change to the student-loan portfolio due to the ongoing pause, the other forms of consumer debt student-loan borrowers hold will likely complicate the return to repayment.

For example, a recent report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau found that median payments on other debt obligations increased by 24% for borrowers likely returning to repayment, and more than one-in-thirteen borrowers are currently behind on other payment obligations. Still, the Education Department announced a 12-month "on-ramp" for borrowers once payments resume during which missed payments will not be reported to credit agencies.

Despite these record-high credit card balances, there are some silver linings. 

"Just over half of cardholders avoid interest by paying in full each month, so credit cards are working for them, in terms of rewards and buyer protections," Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate, said in a note after the New York Fed announcement.

As Rossman pointed out, "consumer spending powers about 70% of economic growth," so while many Americans are going into more debt racking up credit card bills, the broader economy is benefiting. With credit flowing rather freely, this debt peak may not have a disastrous impact on the economy.

A generally good economy could also help Americans handle their debt burdens. "Overall, the strong job market has most consumers in a pretty good position, despite high inflation and high interest rates," Rossman said.

Wages still grew in July, for instance. Inflation has been slowing, with new data out later this week. But while those are all good signs for the broader economy, it might not mean much for Americans sitting on piles of debt.

Are you dealing with an untenable amount of credit card debt, or worried about student loan payments restarting? Contact these reporters at jkaplan@insider.com, mhoff@insider.com, nsheidlower@insider.com, and asheffey@insider.com.

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Mark Zuckerberg, wife Priscilla's relationship timeline, from dating to marriage

Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan
Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan.
  • Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg has been married to his wife, Priscilla Chan, since 2012.
  • The couple met during college and have three daughters.
  • They've also founded the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative and amassed a real estate empire. 

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg may not have gotten an undergrad degree out of Harvard, but he has his time at the university to thank for introducing him to his wife, Priscilla Chan.

The couple met in 2003 at a frat party, and tied the knot in 2012, one day after the IPO of what was then called Facebook.

Over the past two decades, as Zuckerberg has continued to run Meta, the couple founded the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative, pledged millions to philanthropy efforts, started a family, and traveled on vacations abroad, all while buying up big properties in California, Lake Tahoe, and Hawaii.

Here's everything you need to know about the couple, who have been together for nearly 20 years and have three daughters together: Maxima, August, and Aurelia Chan Zuckerberg.

Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg met standing in line for the bathroom at a Harvard University party in 2003. Zuckerberg's fraternity, Alpha Epsilon Pi, was hosting a party and Chan, a sophomore student from the Boston area, was there.

"He was this nerdy guy who was just a little bit out there," Chan told The New Yorker. "I remember he had these beer glasses that said 'pound include beer dot H.' It's a tag for C++. It's like college humor but with a nerdy, computer-science appeal."

Chan said that when she first met Zuckerberg, she thought he might get kicked out of school for a prank he pulled: the hot-or-not website ranking the attractiveness of students on campus, called "Facemash," that Zuckerberg notoriously created in his sophomore year at Harvard.

Zuckerberg also expected to get kicked out of Harvard when he met Chan. The party was a farewell bash. In his 2017 commencement address at Harvard, Zuckerberg said his opening line to Chan was: "I'm going to get kicked out in three days, so we need to go on a date quickly."

"Without Facemash, I wouldn't have met Priscilla," he said in the same speech. "She's the most important person in my life, so you could say it was the most important thing I built in my time here."

When Zuckerberg took Chan out for the first time, he told her he'd "rather go on a date with [her] than finish his take-home midterm," Chan said in an interview with the Today Show in 2014. "The type-A first child in me was appalled."

Zuckerberg dropped out of Harvard officially in the fall of 2005, after his sophomore year, to focus on building Facebook. He moved out to Palo Alto, California, where Facebook opened its first office.

mark zuckerberg priscilla chan
Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan

Chan graduated from Harvard in 2007, and Zuckerberg was there to celebrate. Chan then followed him to California, and entered medical school at the University of California, San Francisco in 2008. She rented an apartment near Golden Gate Park, where Zuckerberg would visit her most weekends.

Early in their relationship, Chan set some strict ground rules for dating because Zuckerberg was so busy with Facebook. Chan required one date per week and a minimum of 100 minutes of alone time per week not at Facebook.

"They walk in the park, go rowing (he insists that they go in separate boats and race), play bocce or the board game the Settlers of Catan. Sundays are reserved for Asian cuisine," the New Yorker wrote about the couple in 2010.

Chan was there when Zuckerberg turned down multiple buyout offers, including a $1 billion offer from Yahoo in 2006. She said Zuckerberg was the most stressed-out that she'd ever seen him during that time period.

While still a med student at UCSF, Chan moved in September 2010 to Zuckerberg's rented house in the College Terrace neighborhood of Palo Alto. He announced the news on — where else — Facebook. "Now we have 2x everything, so if you need any household appliances, dishes, glasses, etc please come by and take them before we give them away," he wrote.

In March 2011, Chan and Zuckerberg adopted a dog, a Puli they named Beast. That same month, the couple finally made their relationship Facebook official.

In May 2011, Zuckerberg and Chan bought a five-bedroom home for $7 million in Palo Alto and tricked it out with a "custom-made artificially intelligent assistant." The following year, Zuckerberg bought the four homes surrounding the residence for $43 million to allow him to expand his property.

Zuckerberg and Chan's wedding ceremony in May 2012 was a surprise: The couple tied the knot just days after Chan graduated from med school and Zuckerberg took his company public, telling guests that the event was a surprise graduation party for Chan. The wedding ceremony was in the backyard of their Palo Alto house.

mark zuckerberg priscilla chan wedding
Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg on their wedding day.

The newlyweds — and newly minted billionaires — spent their honeymoon in Rome, Italy, but had a pretty casual vacation: they were spotted eating McDonald's for a meal while abroad.

Not long after returning from their honeymoon, Zuckerberg purchased a townhouse in San Francisco's Dolores Heights neighborhood for $10 million. He spent an additional $1.6 million to remodel the place. He sold the home in 2022 for $31 million.

Zuckerberg and Chan made a major purchase in October 2014: two properties in Kauai, Hawaii, for more than $100 million. They've since added to the estate two more times and now own roughly 1,500 acres in Kauai.

Chan finished her medical residency, with a specialty in pediatrics, in June 2015. She then went on to work as a pediatrician at San Francisco General Hospital.

In July of that year, Zuckerberg announced on Facebook that Chan was pregnant. The couple had been trying for years, but Chan suffered three miscarriages along the way. "It's a lonely experience," Zuckerberg wrote. Maxima Chan Zuckerberg was born in December 2015.

To celebrate the birth of their daughter, the couple also announced the launch of the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative. The couple pledged to donate 99% of their Facebook shares through the organization. Chan left her role as a pediatrician to run the organization full-time.

The couple announced in 2016 they would invest $3 billion of the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative's funds into research for curing the world's diseases. Their goal is to cure all diseases in the lifetime of their eldest daughter, Max.

Together, the couple have given hundreds of millions to charity. They announced in 2015 they were signing onto the Giving Pledge, a commitment made by billionaires to give away more than half of their wealth during their lifetimes or in their wills.4

Chan and Zuckerberg have also made efforts to support education on both coasts. The Meta CEO made a $100 million investment back in 2010 into the struggling school system in Newark, New Jersey, but the effort ultimately failed. In 2015, Chan and Zuckerberg launched their own school, called The Primary School, for students in low-income areas.

The couple also donated $75 million in 2015 to a San Francisco public hospital, which was then renamed after Zuckerberg. In 2020, the name of the hospital, then called Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, was formally condemned by city officials, who accused the couple of tax evasion and Facebook of "endangering public health" by allowing misinformation to spread on its platform.

mark zuckerberg priscilla chan august baby
Priscilla Chan and Mark Zuckerberg introduce their firstborn, Maxima Chan Zuckerberg, to her baby sister, August Chan Zuckerberg.

Meanwhile, Zuckerberg and Chan welcomed the birth of their second daughter, August Chan Zuckerberg, in August 2017. Zuckerberg took two months off work for paternity leave after August's birth.

Zuckerberg and Chan have also traveled the world together. Early on in their relationship, they agreed to vacation for two weeks every year overseas. They've taken trips to Dubai, Mumbai, and China, where they visit Chan's family. Zuckerberg spent years learning Mandarin from Chan.

Zuckerberg and Chan took a trip to Rome in 2016, where they met with Pope Francis at the Vatican. Zuckerberg gave the pope a miniature model of a Facebook solar-powered drone.

The Zuckerbergs' real estate portfolio grew again in 2018, when the couple secretly dropped $59 million to purchase two waterfront estates in Lake Tahoe. Together, the two properties have 600 feet of private waterfront access.

Zuckerberg and Chan offered a rare glimpse inside their home in December 2019 as they made challah bread with Max and August.

Amid the coronavirus outbreak, the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative formed a COVID-19 task force to help increase the testing abilities of labs in the Bay Area.

The couple announced in September 2022 that they were expecting their third child together. "Happy to share that Max and August are getting a new baby sister next year!" Zuckerberg wrote on Instagram. Daughter Aurelia Chan Zuckerberg was born in March 2023.

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Tuesday, August 8, 2023

DeSantis keeps putting rookies in charge, even with his presidential campaign spiraling

ron desantis
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks at a press conference to announce the opening of a monoclonal antibody treatment site for COVID-19 patients at Lakes Church in Lakeland, Florida on August 21, 2021.
  • GOP presidential candidate and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis keeps hiring people to lead his campaign who have no national campaign experience.
  • His campaign, so far, has been repeatedly hampered by self-inflicted controversies.
  • Former President Donald Trump currently holds a commanding lead in the polls over the GOP field.

GOP presidential candidate and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis keeps putting rookies in charge as he attempts to take control of his sinking campaign.

When DeSantis launched his presidential campaign in May 2023, he chose trusted ally Generra Peck as his campaign manager. Peck, who managed DeSantis' 2022 gubernatorial re-election bid, had no experience working on a national campaign before being selected to helm his bid for office.

In the three months since DeSantis announced his presidential campaign as a potential frontrunner, Peck has had to guide the campaign through a series of self-inflicted errors, like when the campaign's "war room" Twitter account promoted an anti-LGBT video created by a campaign staffer or when a campaign staffer created a video featuring DeSantis and a pro-Nazi symbol.

The inexperience at the top may have hurt DeSantis' presidential ambitions. According to an average of the most recent major national polls by FiveThirtyEight, DeSantis only brings in an average of 15% support in Republican primary polling, 38.3 percentage points behind former President Donald Trump. 

As his campaign continues to circle the drain, it would make sense for DeSantis to replace Peck with someone with ample experience working on presidential campaigns.

But DeSantis didn't do that. Instead, he elevated James Uthmeier, his gubernatorial chief of staff, to become his new campaign manager.

Uthmeier has no campaign management experience at all. But he does have years of experience working with DeSantis in an official capacity. The Messenger reported that Uthmeier had a hand in "nearly every conservative and controversial policy" that's occurred under DeSantis' leadership, including his war on local mask mandates, Florida's decision to reopen schools early after the COVID-19 pandemic, and DeSantis' attempt to redraw Florida' congressional map.

Many of the policies instituted by DeSantis with Uthmeier have been unpopular nationally, and the Florida governor desperately needs to gain as many new supporters as he can around the country.

The DeSantis campaign may be expecting some growing pains from Uthmeier in his new position, as it also named a new deputy campaign manager on Tuesday, David Polyansky, who, unlike Peck and Uthmeier, has ample experience working with presidential campaigns.

But even with Polyansky on his staff, DeSantis is betting the success of his campaign on rookies. And if hiring Uthmeier and Polyansky does lead to some positive movement for DeSantis in the polls, it might be too late for a comeback anyway.

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The US government will add $5 billion to its debt pile every single day for the next ten years, says analyst

Andrew Jackson portrait on twenty dollar bill.
US Government debt is predicted to rise to $50 trillion by 2033.
  • Fitch downgraded US credit for only the second time in the country's history last week. 
  • US government debt is forecast to reach $50 trillion by 2033, per the CBO.
  • BofA's Michael Hartnett broke this down to $5.2 billion every day for the next decade.

In the aftermath of Fitch's US credit downgrade, one analyst has offered an ominous forecast for the outlook of government finances over the next decade.

In a research note published to investors Thursday, Bank of America's Michael Hartnett broke that down into one eye-watering figure.

Using data from the Congressional Budget Office, an independent federal agency, that forecasts government debt will rise from $32.5 trillion now to $50 trillion by 2033, Harnett broke this down into US government debt rising by $5.2 billion every single day for the next ten years. 

It's the equivalent of giving every single American citizen $15 each morning. Or, about half the sum Jeff Bezos added to his personal fortune on Friday.

Per the CBO report, debt will jump from 98% of U.S. gross domestic product to 181% by 2053, rivaling ratios seen only during Second World War and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Fitch's downgrading was only the second time the US has experienced a dent in its creditworthiness. The last time was in 2011. 

The downgrade comes after the government hit its $31.4 trillion borrowing limit in January – brokering an aversion in the 11th-hour to raise the debt ceiling. It expects to have to borrow another $1 trillion in the third quarter of 2023 alone. Under the current laws, this fiscal hole shows no sign of narrowing over the long-term. 

"Such high and rising debt would slow economic growth, push up interest rates to foreign holders of U.S. debt, and pose significant risks to the fiscal and economic outlook," the CBO said in a statement last Wednesday.

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China's economy is sputtering as the nation's exports hit their lowest level in over 3 years

forbidden city china
  • China's exports tumbled in July, further denting hopes of a post-pandemic economic rebound.
  • The country's outbound shipments slid at their steepest pace since February 2020, per The Wall Street Journal.
  • Heightened geopolitical tensions between Beijing and the US have pushed some Western buyers to look elsewhere for supply chain needs. 

China's ambitions for a post-pandemic rebound have yet to materialize, and the country's latest export numbers suggest the economy is struggling to revive itself even after COVID lockdowns were lifted at the end of last year.

Exports in July declined at the sharpest pace since February 2020, according to Chinese customs data cited by the Wall Street Journal.

Outbound overseas shipments from China dropped 14.5% on an annual basis, despite surging trade with Russia. Heightened geopolitical tensions between the Capitol Hill and Beijing weighed on Western business ties, in particular, with China's exports to the US and European Union falling by more than 20%. 

Exports also tanked 12% in June, government data show.

Even though China eased COVID-19 restrictions last year, there's been little sign in 2023 of its eagerly awaited economic recovery. The domestic housing market faces instability, foreign investment and local spending is down, and deflation looms.

Meanwhile, a recent report from the consultancy Terry Group posited that China's not only facing a declining population, but specifically a drop-off in working-age citizens. The country reported its first dip in population last year since 1961, and researchers say the trend will be hard to reverse.

"In 1975, there were thirteen times as many children as elderly in China," the Terry Group researchers said. "By 2050, the UN projects that there will be twice as many elderly as children."

Officials in Beijing are attempting to mute downbeat sentiment. The Financial Times reported Sunday that the government has warned economists and experts not to paint the economy in a negative light

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Hedge funds are being forced to cover their bearish bets, as the stock market continues to defy doubters

Hedge Fund losses
  • The stock market has defied expectations this year – with the S&P 500 up 18% year-to-date. 
  • Hedge funds have been caught off-guard by the market's rally, losing over $175 million this year, per S3. 
  • June and July marks the largest short-covering period by hedge funds since 2016.

Hedge funds who were betting on a market correction have been left reeling from the stock market's remarkable rally that has defied all bearish bets so far this year. 

Short-covering, where sellers buy back borrowed stock to return it to the lender, has reached levels not seen since 2016, according to a report by S3 Partners obtained by the Wall Street Journal.

But, despite a predicted recession, companies' second-quarter earnings have been largely robust, the S&P 500 is enjoying one of its best years since 1927, and broader economic data holds firm – with falling inflation and low unemployment.

June and July together saw hedge funds close out more positions than any time over the last seven years, as managers rescinded their bearish bets on the stock market, per the data.  

Short-sellers took a hit of $53.5 billion mark-t0-market losses in July, marking over $175 billion in total losses for the year so far. 

Per the data, tech giant Nvidia defied hedge funds the most – creating $1.3 billion in losses for managers. The stock is central to the AI boom that has supercharged the stock market in recent months and is up an eye-watering 217% year-to-date. 

Among the other biggest losers in July are Alibaba Group, Rivian, Coinbase, and Meta, totalling $3.9 billion in writedowns for managers last month. 

The technique used by short-sellers is borrowing shares and then selling them, with the aim of buying them back at a lower price. Hedge funds employ this strategy and aim to generate positive returns regardless of the wider economic climate. 

However, the stock market's rally has created an awkward paradox for hedge-fund managers, forcing them to buy back the original shares at a higher price to limit further losses. This can create additional demand for the stock and send prices soaring even higher.

This follows last week's reveal that hedge funds lost over $6 billion on bad bets against cruise ship and hotel operators this year. 

Betting against the embattled cruise ship industry was thought as a smart play during the COVID-19 pandemic. But since then the cruise industry has surged, releasing a wave of pent-up demand. Year-to-date, Carnival is up 124%, Royal Caribbean is 117% higher, and smaller rival Norwegian is up 51%.

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